The SportsLine model revealed its picks for the 2024 NBA playoffs after simulating Game 1 of the Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks series 10,000 times.
When the fifth-seeded Dallas Mavericks play the fourth-seeded Los Angeles Clippers in Game 1 of their Western Conference first-round playoff series on Sunday in Los Angeles, they will face off against two opponents with a level playing field. The Mavericks (50-32), who were 25-16 when playing on the road in 2023 and 2024, are 31-21 when playing opponents from the conference. The Clippers (51-31) are 30-22 against the West and were 25-16 at home. During the regular season, the Clippers won two of three games against Dallas, including the one in Los Angeles.
The event will begin at 3:30 p.m. ET from the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. In the most recent SportsLine consensus Mavericks vs. Clippers odds, the Mavericks are a 3-point favourite, and the over/under for total points scored is 222. You should check out SportsLine's NBA predictions and betting advice from the tested computer model before making any predictions about the Clippers vs. Mavericks picks.
Over the course of more than five seasons, the SportsLine Projection Model has generated profits of well over $10,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks by simulating every NBA game 10,000 times. With a return of more than $2,600, the model enters the 2024 NBA playoffs on a scorching 88-58 roll on all of the top-rated NBA picks this season. Everyone who has followed it has seen huge gains.
The model has already locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions for Mavericks vs. Clippers. You can now view the model's picks by going to SportsLine. The NBA odds and betting lines for the Clippers vs. Mavericks matchup are listed below.
- Clippers vs. Mavericks spread: -3 Dallas
- Over/Under Mavericks vs. Clippers: 222 marks
- The money line for Mavericks vs. Clippers: Los Angeles is +125, and Dallas is -148.
- DAL: In 38 of their last 57 games, the Mavericks have gone under the game total (+17.10 units).
- LAC: The Clippers have hit the team total under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.45 units)
- Picks for Mavericks vs. Clippers: SportsLine offers picks.
Why they are able to cover
In 73 games, including 45 starts, forward P.J. Washington is averaging 12.9 points, 5.6 rebounds, 1.9 assists, and one steal. After scoring 14 points and grabbing 13 rebounds in a game against Sacramento on March 26, Washington recorded his first double-double with the Mavericks. In addition, on April 5 against Golden State, he scored a team-high 32 points and had a career-high five steals. Washington became the second Mavericks player to record at least 30 points, five steals, and two blocks in a single game.
Veteran centre Daniel Gafford, who has been with Dallas for five years, is expected to play despite having a sore elbow. He has started 66 games in 74 games and has averaged 11 points, 7.6 rebounds, 2.1 blocks, and 1.6 assists per 24.5 minutes played. In a 130-104 win at Charlotte on April 9, Gafford poured in 26 focuses, while adding seven bounce back and two blocks. On April 5, he scored 10 points and grabbed 15 rebounds in a win over Golden State that was decided by a score of 108-106. Choose your team from this list.
Why they are able to cover
Kawhi Leonard is Los Angeles' leading scorer and has started 68 games this season, despite being listed as a game-time decision. Leonard played 32 minutes and averaged 21.3 points, 6.3 rebounds, 4.1 assists, and one block in three games against the Mavericks. In his final nine games, he scored at least 20 points, including a 29-point performance in the team's win over Orlando on March 29 (100-97). He has played 34.3 minutes per game and is averaging 23.7 points, 6.1 rebounds, 3.6 assists, and 1.6 steals for the season.
The Clippers' success is also largely attributable to forward Paul George. In a 105-92 victory over Phoenix on April 9, the 33-year-old scored 18,000 career points. He has 18,000 points, 5,000 rebounds, and 3,000 assists, making him one of seven active NBA players. George has started all 74 games and has played 33.8 minutes per game, averaging 22.6 points, 5.2 rebounds, 3.5 assists, and 1.5 steals. In two games against Dallas this year, he scored 16.5 points, grabbed six rebounds, and had three assists on average. Choose your team from this list.
How to pick between the Clippers and Mavericks
SportsLine's model predicts that the teams will score 227 points combined and is going over on the total. Additionally, the model states that one side hits in well over half of the simulations. At SportsLine, you can only view the model's prediction and analysis.
Which side hits in well over half of the simulations, Mavericks vs. Clippers? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Clippers vs. Mavericks spread you should bet on using the advanced model that has returned more than $2,600 on NBA picks this season.
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